Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.233179 1.512926 1.878501 2.409384 3.195171 4.381536 6.467541
2025-11-02 0.886362 1.191610 1.655407 2.475830 4.073709 7.656985 19.896645
2025-11-09 0.722963 1.030433 1.547272 2.605810 5.216251 14.219157 119.584538
2025-11-16 0.606838 0.897521 1.419541 2.604946 6.131427 24.972462 294516.820698
2025-11-23 0.517495 0.783793 1.283254 2.501336 6.679881 40.823688 NaN
2025-11-30 0.470708 0.732691 1.249740 2.626248 8.350219 113.314659 NaN
2025-12-07 0.425856 0.675522 1.186255 2.636546 9.688150 401.981635 NaN
2025-12-14 0.384238 0.617161 1.105214 2.554226 10.471916 2476.685417 NaN
2025-12-21 0.352660 0.573423 1.047127 2.518740 11.651554 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.340258 0.565574 1.070480 2.779609 16.670661 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.323351 0.545825 1.059995 2.915165 21.915906 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.302989 0.516099 1.017720 2.899503 25.463646 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.281039 0.481089 0.956748 2.780595 26.831508 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.267649 0.463204 0.938720 2.854739 34.862379 NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.257913 0.452125 0.937124 3.013934 51.776980 NaN NaN
2026-02-08 0.244977 0.432452 0.907505 3.012576 64.854842 NaN NaN
2026-02-15 0.230379 0.407667 0.859201 2.884419 67.744068 NaN NaN
2026-02-22 0.223513 0.399844 0.859395 3.038920 113.674527 NaN NaN
2026-03-01 0.214239 0.385554 0.837767 3.051691 158.393187 NaN NaN
2026-03-08 0.203578 0.367162 0.800973 2.949734 175.417796 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.194885 0.352752 0.774650 2.905889 222.646068 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.193051 0.354371 0.798804 3.229682 1219.442471 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.188552 0.349158 0.800195 3.399254 28015.873164 NaN NaN